Page 200 - Littleton, CO Comprehensive Plan

Fiscal Impact Analysis
The City of Littleton, CO

LAND USE SCENARIOS

Aside from some scattered small vacant parcels, Littleton has 10 properties that stand out as the most
significant remaining undeveloped properties in this largely built-out city. These 10 properties total
approximately 210 acres, with the largest just over 120 acres at the southwest corner of Mineral
Avenue and Santa Fe Drive.

In designing the land use scenarios utilized in this Fiscal Impact Analysis (“FIA”), Kendig Keast
Collaborative (“KKC”) and the City of Littleton considered the amount of developable land remaining
within the city limits, current demographic and market trends, and the goals identified throughout
the Comprehensive Planning process, including fiscal sustainability.

The three land used scenarios identified share the following baseline assumptions:

▪ The City of Littleton will have more jobs and households in 2040 than in 2020

▪ Average household size—defined in this report as Persons per Housing Unit (“PPHU”)—will
remain constant at 2.31 PPHU. Thus, there is a direct and proportionate relationship between
residential development and population growth.

Each scenario is described below:

Scenario 1: Trend (Residential Emphasis). This scenario bases its projections primarily on current
demographic and market trends. The city’s population is expected to reach the mid-point of the
growth range projected in the Comprehensive Plan, and most developable land is used for residential
development in order to accommodate that growth. Consistent with recent trends, Attached dwelling
units are expected to comprise the majority (66 percent) of the new units added during the planning
period. In this residential emphasis scenario, the majority of developable land is used for housing,
although some commercial development—primarily within the Retail and Office land use sectors—is
expected to occur. This generally reflects the City’s current development patterns. Broadly speaking,
Scenario 1 represents a “business-as-usual” approach to development review and the City’s economic
development policy decisions.

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