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The Future County

                                    APPENDIX A | POPULATION OUTLOOK
                         PLAN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY 2040





















           POPULATION OUTLOOK                                   Alternative Growth Scenarios

           FOR POTTAWATOMIE                                     Demographers caution that population projections

           COUNTY                                               become trickier as the geographic area gets smaller.
                                                                This is because local population change is strongly
                                                                influenced by less predictable factors such as
           Population projections are an important component
           of a long-range planning process. They help          housing prices, availability of vacant land to develop,
           determine and quantify the demands that will be      and economic shifts at the regional level.
           placed on public facilities and services based on the   Given this context, the chart in this section provides
           potential pace and scale of the County’s physical    a comparison of several potential scenarios for
           growth. Projections  reflect  local,  regional, national   future population change in Pottawatomie County.
           and international trends and offer a basis to prepare   The projections build on the latest U.S. Census figure
           for the future. However, forecasting population      of 23,661 for 2016 and identify potential population
           changes can be challenging, particularly for the long   levels in five-year increments out to 2040.
           term, because it is often difficult to account for all
           circumstances that may arise. Therefore, it will be   Wichita State Projection
           important for the County to monitor population and
                                                                The Center for Economic Development and
           economic growth continually to account for both
                                                                Business  Research  (CEDBR)  at  Wichita  State
           short- and longer-term shifts that can influence
                                                                University releases Kansas county-level population
           development activity and trends in the community
                                                                projections through the year 2064. The projections
           and larger region.
                                                                methodology “is based primarily on the age-cohort










           Adopted - August 19, 2019                   The Future County    Appendix A  |  Population Outlook  |  111
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