Page 120 - Florence County, SC Florence County 2032: Connecting Our Past, Defining Our Future

BOTTOM LINE

It is wise for counties to think in terms of a range
of potential growth rather than an absolute number
given the uncertainty of any small-area forecast
that extends beyond a few years. It is assumed for
this Comprehensive Plan that Pottawatomie’s 2040
population will fall within a forecast range of 33,860
to 36,081 persons, which yields a midpoint of 34,971.
These figures represent a potential average annual
growth rate ranging from roughly 1.6 to 1.8 percent
through 2040 (from a base of 23,661 persons in
2016).

The midpoint of a potential growth range to assume
for this Comprehensive Plan – between the higher
Exponential Growth projection and the Wichita State
projection – would put Pottawatomie County’s
population at approximately 25,202 in 2020; 29,670
in 2030; and 34,971 in 2040. This would mean an
additional 11,310 residents from 2016 and implies
that Pottawatomie County could add the equivalent
of 47.8 percent of its current population by 2040.
For perspective, Census 2010 reported an average
household size in Pottawatomie County of 2.7
persons, meaning that 4,189 additional housing units
would be needed to accommodate 11,310 added
residents.

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Adopted - August 19, 2019 The Future County Appendix A | Population Outlook | 113